SSPDL, a case study
August 6th, 2010SSPDL is a small cap Real Estate company focused primarily on the southern markets of Chennai, Bangalore and Hyderabad. I first came across this company based on a recommendation by HIDDEN GEMS fame Ashish Chugh.
I researched a bit more and found that company was indeed priced dirt cheap. For a company which had IT parks - ALPHA CITY, and MATRIX TOWERS in OMR under it’s belt, it’s market cap was at 40 crores. The company had debt of 50 odd crores. In total the enterprise value did not exceed 100 crores. For this price, in current real estate prices, it was a no brainer conclusion to realize the company was lowly valued.
Just to ensure the company was not a shell company, I went to the projects mentioned in the website to enquire, namely SSPDL ‘alpha city’ and SSPDL Crescent apartment projects. When I enquired, the apartments in Kelambakkam road was almost sold out and construction activity was going on. They had just announced a villa project called LAKEWOOD. Each villa was priced at close to one crore,and they had 26 villas in that project.
All along, the stock was just unbelievably cheap. Here’s a business which was worth much more than a few hundred crores and was selling at less than hundred crores. Buying when the prices are so low is incredibly counter intuitive.I wrote about this company to the Capital ideas club but never heard back from them.
When the idly and chutney is too good at home, I am always tempted to have one more idly. With exactly the same mentality, I bought a small number of shares in the company in my personal account. Nothing happened for six months, and then last week there was a news that inter serve, a uk based construction major with revenues of about 1.9 billion pounds has bought a 50% stake in SSPDL subsidiary.
The stock has been hitting upper circuit ever since, the value has already gone up by 50 % and I am cursing myself for not buying more then (is not everything so crystal clear in hind sight?).
In the market, nothing is a sure thing, but when we get something as close to sure thing, we should bet heavily. That is the lesson for me.
